Promotion / Relegation as it stands - January 2019

Thu 30th January 2020 | General
By Martin Fallon

The end of the 2019/20 season will see the implementation of the second phase of the FA's National League System restructure designed to create a pure Non-League Pyramid.

This will see the creation of a new league at Step 4, which will be run by the Northern Premier League, with two new divisions at Step 5, these being in the Midlands and the West London/Thames Valley areas.

The effect of this is that there are many extra promotion spots available at the end of the 2019/20 season, with usual relegation also affected.

Here we have a look at the changes for Promotion & Relegation that will come in at the end of this season.

Boundaries

It is important to remember that if you are promoted / relegated at the end of a season, you are NOT promoted from one league to another. Instead, you are simply moved to another Step within the football pyramid.

Once all of the promotion / relegation spots have been decided, the FA then meets in order to allocate clubs in each Step to the relevant leagues. This can also mean that current clubs in a Step can move leagues so that the number of teams fit, such as Silsden moving out of our league and Emley moving into our league at the end of last season.

Historically speaking, we have had two divisions that pretty much sat on top of one another. However now that we have a Premier Division and TWO First Divisions, this is not the case, with the footprint of the two First Divisions larger than that of the Premier Division.

This means that we are at a much greater risk of club's being moved to other leagues within the pyramid, which is known as lateral movements. This will be an important issue for our league both at the end of the season and in subsequent seasons.

Step 5 Promotion

With a new Step 4 being introduced, extra teams are needed at Step 4. The first way the FA are doing this is to do away with automatic relegation from the seven Step 4 leagues. Clubs finishing bottom could still go down, but that will be via a play-offs. More on that in a moment.

Despite no automatic relegation from Step 4, there are still more teams needed which means extra promotion spaces this season.

To address the North/South imbalance that has built up over the years, three teams are being promoted automatically from our Premier Division, the Northern Counties East League Premier Division and the Northern League Division One.

In the remaining eleven Step 5 leagues, the Champions will be promoted automatically, but there are also opportunities for runners up.

The four runners up with the best Points per Game (PPG) average will also be promoted automatically. The remaining seven runners up will go into a one of play off away at the seven teams who finish bottom of the Step 4 leagues. The winners of that will take a place in Step 4 next season, with the losers dropping to Step 5.

From a NWCFL perspective, it is quite simple. The top three in our Premier Division will be automatically promoted at the end of the season.

We could gain a club from the Northern Premier League for next season, but for this to happen they would have to finish bottom, lose the play off against a Step 5 runner up, and be in our area. Pickering Town are currently bottom who are not in our area, although Kendal Town are second bottom who are in our area.

Step 5 Relegation

With so many teams getting promoted, and with two new Step 5 leagues being created, extra teams are needed for next season in Step 5. As a result the number of relegation spots has reduced to one for this season. However there is still a chance that we wont relegate anybody.

The side finishing bottom in each of the fourteen Step 5 divisions will be ranked on a PPG basis. The two sides with the best PPG will be reprieved, the other 12 will be relegated.

As it stands at the end of January 2020, here are the bottom placed teams across Step 5 ranked by PPG.

League Pos Team Pld Pts PPG
Eastern Counties 20 Hadleigh United 24 16 0.67
Eastern Counties 20 Hadleigh United 24 16 0.67
Northern League 20 Whickham 23 14 0.61
NWCFL 20 Litherland REMYCA 25 15 0.60
Southern Counties East 20 Greenwich Borough 20 12 0.60
South Midlands 21 London Colney 22 12 0.55
Combined Counties 21 CB Hounslow United 26 14 0.54
Western League 21 Odd Down Bath 23 10 0.43
Midland League 20 Selston 17 7 0.41
Northern Counties East 20 Athersley Recreation 22 9 0.41
Southern Combination 20 Loxwood 22 9 0.41
Wessex League 20 Amesbury Town 22 8 0.36
Hellenic 19 Holmer Green 22 5 0.23
United Counties 20 Sleaford Town 22 5 0.23
Essex Senior 20 Sawbridgeworth Town 23 5 0.22

 

From a NWCFL perspective, Litherland REMYCA would be relegated as hings stand, but there is not much in it. A win at Avro on Saturday would give them 18 points from 26 games and a 0.69 PPG average, which would be the best across Step 5 and enough to give them a reprieve.

With such fine margins, every point really does count.

Step 6 Promotion

Despite relegation from Step 5 being slashed, a lot of extra teams are needed for next season in Step 5. Therefore the top FOUR teams from each Step 6 division will be promoted at the end of the season. The only exception is in the two South West Peninsula divisions which will promote two sides from each of their divisions.

From a NWCFL perspective, it's simple. The top four in our First Division North and First Division South will be promoted automatically.

For those of you doing the maths, you can see the massive affect this will have on our Premier Division for next season.

In the Premier Division we currently have 20 teams. We will lose three teams who will be promoted to the Northern Premier League, yet gain EIGHT from our two First Division's. This will mean that at least FIVE teams will be laterally moved, or SIX if our PPG mean that we don't relegate anybody from Step 5.

This is why it is important to remember that you get actually get promoted / relegated from a Step to Step perspective, not from a league to league perspective.

Step 6 Relegation

All that can be said for Step 6 relegations is that the bottom TWO sides are liable to relegation to Step 7.

At Step 7 there are 46 divisions, but it is not automatic promotion. Sides wishing to be promoted to Step 6 had to have applied by 31st December and also have to pass certain ground grading criteria.

The numbers promoted / relegated is therefore unknown and won't be known until after the end of the season. Therefore the best that any team in Step 6 can do is to get as many points as they can. The reason for this is that if any reprieves are available, then sides starting with the best PPG will be reprieved.

As it stands at the end of January 2020, here are the bottom placed teams across Step 6 ranked by PPG.

League Pos Team Pld Pts PPG
NWCFL D1N 19 St Helens Town 26 24 0.92
NWCFL D1N 20 Steeton 25 22 0.88
Eastern Counties D1N 19 Kings Lynn Res 20 16 0.80
NWCFL D1S 19 Barnton 24 19 0.79
Midland League 19 Nuneaton Griff 25 19 0.76
Wessex League 18 Totten and Eling 20 14 0.70
South West Peninsula D1W 19 St Dennis 22 15 0.68
Northern Counties East 19 Harrogate Railway Athletic 20 13 0.65
Combined Counties 19 Godalming Town 22 14 0.64
NWCFL D1S 20 St Martins 24 15 0.63
West Midlands (Regional) 16 Willenhall Town 32 20 0.63
Combined Counties 20 Eversley & California 21 13 0.62
South West Peninsula D1E 19 Sidmouth Town 21 13 0.62
Midland League 20 Stafford Town 26 16 0.62
South Midlands 18 Park View 20 12 0.6
Western League 19 Bishop Sutton 20 12 0.60
South West Peninsula D1E 20 Torrington AFC 22 13 0.59
South West Peninsula D1W 20 Godolphin Atlantic 24 14 0.58
United Counties 19 Huntingdon Town 25 14 0.56
Hellenic D1E 16 Langley 20 11 0.55
Southern Counties East 16 Bridon Ropes 19 10 0.53
South Midlands 19 Brimsdown 24 12 0.5
Wessex League 19 Folland Sports 22 11 0.50
Hellenic D1W 15 Tytherington Rocks 20 9 0.45
West Midlands (Regional) 17 Telford Junors 32 13 0.41
East Midlands Counties 18 Shirebrook Town 20 8 0.40
Western League 20 Bristol Telephones 20 8 0.40
Eastern Counties D1N 20 Wisbech St Mary 26 10 0.38
Northern League 19 Durham City 22 8 0.36
Southern Combination 17 Billingshurst 17 6 0.35
Northern League 20 Brandon United 20 7 0.35
Southern Counties East 17 Kent Football United 20 7 0.35
Hellenic D1E 17 Abingdon Town 18 6 0.33
Eastern Counties D1S 17 Newbury Forest 17 5 0.29
East Midlands Counties 19 Borrowash Victoria 21 5 0.24
United Counties 20 Lutterworth Athletic 20 4 0.20
Eastern Counties D1S 18 Fire United 13 2 0.15
Hellenic D1W 16 New College Swindon 18 1 0.06
Northern Counties East 20 East Hull 21 1 0.05
Southern Combination 18 Sidlesham 0 0 0.00

 

From a NWCFL perspective, three of our teams currently have the best PPG across Step 6, with the other having a good PPG also.

However it is worth stating that PPG would only come into it if there are spaces once usual promotions from Step 7 have been satisfied, and it could be that no teams are actually reprieved. If there are repreives though, we are in a good postition at present to get some!

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